AVTX logo

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.

AVTX
Healthcare|Biotechnology|US
$6.93
+0.30 (+4.52%)
DCF Value
$0.99
Tangible Book / Share
$7.74
Cash / Share
$7.14

Financials

Financial Snapshot

Market Cap
$371.7M
Enterprise Value
$306.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$59.0K
Net Income (TTM)
-$88.7M
Cash & Investments
$393.0M
Net Cash
$392.8M
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
-$61.6M
Operating CF (TTM)
-$61.6M
Debt/Equity
0.00

Cash Runway & Burn Rate

Cash on Hand
$393.0M
Quarterly Burn
$15.4M
Monthly Burn
$5.1M
Est. Runway
~25.5 quarters
MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Cash & Investments
$5.1M$2.5M$10.6M$11.2M$18.9M$54.6M$13.2M$7.4M$134.5M$98.3M$393.0M
Operating Cash Flow
-$14.6M$12.5M-$3.1M-$19.1M-$40.5M-$70.9M-$26.8M-$30.7M-$49.1M-$51.5M-$61.6M
Free Cash Flow
-$14.6M$12.5M-$3.7M-$19.4M-$40.6M-$71.0M-$26.8M-$30.8M-$49.1M-$51.5M-$61.6M
Capital Expenditure
-$34.9K-$23.3K-$564.4K-$262.0K-$63.0K-$113.0K-$95.0K-$158.0K$0.00$0.00$0.00
Financing Cash Flow
-$1.4M$3.7M$10.4M$12.6M$44.8M$106.8M-$14.7M$25.0M$175.8M$14.6M$844.0M

R&D Spending

R&D (TTM)
$65.8M
R&D Intensity
111488.1%
R&D Growth vs Prior
+31.3%
MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Revenue
$1.2M$27.8M$18.3M$6.8M$6.7M$5.4M$18.1M$1.9M$441.0K$59.0K$59.0K
R&D Expense
$10.2M$4.4M$5.8M$11.8M$32.2M$59.8M$31.3M$13.8M$52.1M$50.1M$65.8M
R&D % of Revenue
880.3%15.7%31.6%174.3%480.6%1108.5%173.4%716.4%11809.1%84888.1%111488.1%
SG&A
$7.1M$8.9M$19.2M$11.6M$19.8M$24.7M$20.7M$10.3M$17.2M$22.9M$29.8M

Income Statement

MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Revenue
$1.2M$27.8M$18.3M$6.8M$6.7M$5.4M$18.1M$1.9M$441.0K$59.0K$59.0K
Cost of Revenue
$8.2M$635.6K$7.5M-$566.5K$300.0K$1.5M$3.4M$1.3M-$366.0K$0.00$17.0K
Gross Profit
-$7.1M$27.2M$10.8M$7.3M$6.4M$3.9M$14.6M$640.0K$807.0K$59.0K$42.0K
R&D
$10.2M$4.4M$5.8M$11.8M$32.2M$59.8M$31.3M$13.8M$52.1M$50.1M$65.8M
SG&A
$7.1M$8.9M$19.2M$11.6M$19.8M$24.7M$20.7M$10.3M$17.2M$22.9M$29.8M
Operating Income
-$16.1M$13.9M-$39.3M-$16.1M$0.00-$82.1M-$37.4M-$27.4M-$68.5M-$72.9M-$95.6M
Interest Expense
$464.2K$24.0K$0.00$0.00$0.00$2.4M$4.2M$3.4M$0.00$0.00$0.00
Pretax Income
-$16.5M$13.8M-$40.1M-$16.0M-$67.2M-$84.5M-$41.6M-$31.5M-$35.0M-$78.1M-$88.5M
Net Income
-$16.5M$11.9M-$40.1M-$16.1M-$63.5M-$84.4M-$41.7M-$31.5M-$35.1M-$78.3M-$88.7M
EPS (Diluted)
-21.931822.74-3317.28-819.74-2523.77-2330.66-1062.65-113.58-3.26-5.84-2.89
EBITDA
-$16.1M$14.3M-$13.1M-$13.5M-$45.5M-$80.5M-$37.3M-$23.3M-$34.8M-$77.8M-$92.9M
Shares Out. (M)
0.000.010.010.020.030.040.040.2810.7813.4055.06

Balance Sheet

MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Cash & Equivalents
$5.1M$2.5M$10.6M$3.6M$18.9M$54.6M$13.2M$7.4M$134.5M$15.9M$65.0M
Short-Term Investments
$0.00$0.00$0.00$7.6M$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$82.5M$328.0M
Total Current Assets
$5.7M$11.0M$21.9M$17.7M$26.0M$61.8M$16.4M$8.4M$138.9M$105.3M$400.7M
Total Assets
$5.8M$43.1M$70.3M$36.1M$43.8M$80.2M$33.4M$21.0M$150.7M$116.5M$481.4M
Total Current Liabilities
$4.3M$11.4M$26.2M$12.2M$15.2M$19.9M$22.1M$4.6M$7.0M$12.9M$24.1M
Long-Term Debt
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$32.8M$13.5M$0.00$0.00$2.0M$0.00
Total Liabilities
$5.6M$15.3M$49.3M$15.1M$19.2M$57.1M$44.3M$13.7M$17.7M$33.4M$44.9M
Stockholders' Equity
$207.0K$27.9M$20.9M$21.0M$24.6M$23.1M-$10.9M$7.3M$133.0M$83.0M$436.5M
Retained Earnings
-$70.0M-$58.2M-$98.2M-$114.3M-$177.8M-$262.2M-$303.8M-$335.1M-$370.3M-$448.5M-$523.5M

Cash Flow Statement

MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Operating Cash Flow
-$14.6M$12.5M-$3.1M-$19.1M-$40.5M-$70.9M-$26.8M-$30.7M-$49.1M-$51.5M-$61.6M
Capital Expenditure
-$34.9K-$23.3K-$564.4K-$262.0K-$63.0K-$113.0K-$95.0K-$158.0K$0.00$0.00$0.00
Free Cash Flow
-$14.6M$12.5M-$3.7M-$19.4M-$40.6M-$71.0M-$26.8M-$30.8M-$49.1M-$51.5M-$61.6M
Investing Cash Flow
-$34.9K-$18.9M$865.5K-$443.0K$11.1M-$113.0K-$95.0K-$133.0K$356.0K-$81.7M-$313.3M
Financing Cash Flow
-$1.4M$3.7M$10.4M$12.6M$44.8M$106.8M-$14.7M$25.0M$175.8M$14.6M$844.0M
Issuance of Stock
$2.0M$6.3M$3.9M$12.7M$44.5M$71.9M$107.0K$46.2M$115.6M$15.1M$434.5M
Repurchase of Stock
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$66.0K
Net Debt Issuance
-$3.3M-$2.4M$0.00-$256.1K$0.00$32.9M-$14.8M-$21.2M$0.00$0.00$0.00
Stock Based Comp.
$1.7M$1.2M$2.4M$2.5M$6.8M$8.2M$7.6M$3.5M$5.9M$13.6M$18.6M
Net Change in Cash
-$16.0M-$2.7M$8.1M-$7.0M$15.4M$35.8M-$41.4M-$5.8M$127.1M-$118.6M$469.2M

Dilution Tracker

Shares outstanding grew 52445.3% over 5 years — significant dilution
Shares Outstanding
54M
5-Year Share Growth
+52445.3%
Stock Issuance (TTM)
$434.5M
MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Shares Out. (M)
0.000.010.010.020.030.040.040.2810.7813.4055.06
Change vs Prior %
—112.4%85.4%64.4%28.5%41.9%8.3%608.5%3783.0%24.3%310.8%
Stock Issuance
$2.0M$6.3M$3.9M$12.7M$44.5M$71.9M$107.0K$46.2M$115.6M$15.1M$434.5M
Stock Repurchase
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$66.0K
Stock Based Comp.
$1.7M$1.2M$2.4M$2.5M$6.8M$8.2M$7.6M$3.5M$5.9M$13.6M$18.6M

Margins & Profitability

MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
Gross Margin %
-614.6%97.7%59.2%108.4%95.5%72.4%81.0%33.3%183.0%100.0%71.2%
Operating Margin %
-1394.6%49.9%-214.5%-239.1%0.0%-1521.6%-207.4%-1421.6%-15535.6%-123601.7%-161961.0%
Net Margin %
-1428.5%42.7%-218.5%-238.1%-947.9%-1563.1%-230.8%-1639.5%-7965.8%-132642.4%-150259.3%
EBITDA Margin %
-1392.3%51.6%-71.2%-200.1%-678.5%-1491.2%-206.6%-1210.3%-7901.6%-131779.7%-157449.2%
FCF Margin %
-1267.0%44.9%-20.1%-287.3%-606.1%-1315.4%-148.7%-1602.8%-11123.8%-87216.9%-104328.8%
ROE %
-7957.0%42.6%-191.6%-76.6%-258.5%-365.5%381.7%-431.9%-26.4%-94.2%-34.2%
ROA %
-285.5%27.5%-57.0%-44.5%-145.1%-105.2%-124.8%-150.3%-23.3%-67.2%-18.4%
ROIC %
-422.0%37.6%-89.2%-66.9%0.0%-134.8%-211.3%-161.7%-47.5%-70.2%-20.9%
R&D / Revenue %
880.3%15.7%31.6%174.3%480.6%1108.5%173.4%716.4%11809.1%84888.1%111488.1%

Growth (Year over Year)

Fiscal years. Rising share count growth means dilution.

MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue
0.0%2312.2%-34.1%-63.2%-0.8%-19.4%234.4%-89.3%-77.1%-86.6%
Gross Profit
-30042.9%483.5%-60.1%-32.6%-12.5%-38.9%274.1%-95.6%26.1%-92.7%
Operating Income
-46.0%186.4%-383.0%59.0%100.0%0.0%54.4%26.9%-150.5%-6.4%
Net Income
-57.0%172.1%-437.4%59.9%-295.1%-32.9%50.6%24.3%-11.4%-122.8%
EPS (Diluted)
-35.3%8411.6%-282.0%75.3%-207.9%7.7%54.4%89.3%97.1%-79.1%
Operating Cash Flow
-43.4%185.9%-125.0%-511.7%-111.9%-74.9%62.3%-14.7%-59.9%-4.9%
Free Cash Flow
-43.4%185.5%-129.5%-425.3%-109.3%-74.9%62.2%-14.9%-59.1%-4.9%
R&D Expense
54.1%-56.9%32.3%103.3%173.7%85.9%-47.7%-56.0%277.8%-3.8%
SG&A Expense
60.1%25.9%115.4%-39.5%70.2%24.8%-16.0%-50.3%67.4%32.8%
Total Assets
-73.4%647.5%62.9%-48.6%21.2%83.3%-58.4%-37.1%618.0%-22.7%
Book Value / Share
-99.6%6355.7%-60.3%-38.9%-9.0%-33.8%-143.7%109.4%-37.8%-62.1%
Debt
-57.7%-100.0%0.0%-99.0%173.4%7721.1%-40.1%-97.3%5.8%327.3%
Diluted Shares
296.6%112.4%85.4%64.4%28.5%41.9%8.3%608.5%3783.0%24.3%

Valuation

P/E (TTM)At Loss
P/S6299.25
10Y Low / Med / High1.31 / 28.95 / 4125.96
P/B0.87
10Y Low / Med / High0.35 / 5.37 / 37.54
EV/EBITDAAt Loss
10Y Low / Med / High0.19 / 2.11 / 3.93
EV/Revenue5200.35
10Y Low / Med / High2.03 / 26.19 / 3898.32
P/FCFAt Loss

Intrinsic Value Models (per share)

DCF Value
$0.99
Tangible Book / Share
$7.74
Net Current Assets / Share
$6.64
Graham Net-Net
$6.32
Cash / Share
$7.14
MetricTrend2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTM
P/E Ratio
-115.574.96-2.80-18.94-3.01-2.10-1.14-0.08-1.72-3.11-2.40
P/S Ratio
6.742.126.1345.6528.9532.832.631.31136.954125.966299.25
P/B Ratio
37.542.115.3714.687.907.68-4.340.350.452.930.87
EV/EBITDA
-0.313.93-8.97-22.55-3.86-1.94-1.450.192.11-2.96-3.30
EV/Revenue
4.332.036.3945.1326.1928.893.00-2.26-166.863898.325200.35

Analyst Estimates & Quality

Altman Z-Score
3.75
Safe
Piotroski F-Score
2
Weak

Forward Estimates (consensus)

MetricFY2026FY2027FY2028
Revenue$1.0M$1.0M$13.9K
Net Income-$41.0M-$38.9M-$45.3M
EPS$-2.91$-2.91$-3.06
# Analysts (EPS)796

Revenue Segments

By Product

Segment202020212022202320242025
License—$625.0K$14.7M$516.0K——
Product$6.7M$4.8M$3.4M$1.4M$441.0K$59.0K