UPB logo

Upstream Bio, Inc.

UPB
Healthcare|Biotechnology|US
$3.23
+0.02 (+0.62%)
Tangible Book / Share
$4.97
Cash / Share
$4.79

Financials

Financial Snapshot

Market Cap
$176.9M
Enterprise Value
$98.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$3.2M
Net Income (TTM)
-$156.5M
Cash & Investments
$261.3M
Net Cash
$260.4M
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
-$136.3M
Operating CF (TTM)
-$136.3M
Debt/Equity
0.00

Cash Runway & Burn Rate

Cash on Hand
$261.3M
Quarterly Burn
$34.1M
Monthly Burn
$11.4M
Est. Runway
~7.7 quarters
MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Cash & Investments
$17.1M$109.8M$470.5M$341.5M$261.3M
Operating Cash Flow
-$19.0M-$37.9M-$59.2M-$133.3M-$136.3M
Free Cash Flow
-$19.1M-$38.1M-$59.7M-$133.3M-$136.3M
Capital Expenditure
-$82.0K-$144.0K-$511.0K-$165.0K$0.00
Financing Cash Flow
$10.0M$129.6M$418.9M$2.4M$5.0M

R&D Spending

R&D (TTM)
$145.8M
R&D Intensity
4616.8%
R&D Growth vs Prior
+6.6%
MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Revenue
$1.2M$2.4M$2.4M$2.9M$3.2M
R&D Expense
$18.7M$31.8M$63.0M$136.8M$145.8M
R&D % of Revenue
1539.4%1336.1%2656.8%4793.5%4616.8%
SG&A
$6.5M$10.7M$17.2M$26.4M$27.3M

Income Statement

MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Revenue
$1.2M$2.4M$2.4M$2.9M$3.2M
Cost of Revenue
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$49.0K
Gross Profit
$1.2M$2.4M$2.4M$2.9M$3.1M
R&D
$18.7M$31.8M$63.0M$136.8M$145.8M
SG&A
$6.5M$10.7M$17.2M$26.4M$27.3M
Operating Income
-$23.9M-$40.1M-$77.8M-$160.4M-$170.0M
Interest Expense
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
Pretax Income
-$23.9M-$20.5M-$62.8M-$143.4M-$156.5M
Net Income
-$23.9M-$20.5M-$62.8M-$143.4M-$156.5M
EPS (Diluted)
-0.66-1.05-1.49-2.66-2.90
EBITDA
-$23.9M-$20.5M-$62.7M-$143.3M-$156.3M
Shares Out. (M)
36.3236.3251.3453.8554.57

Balance Sheet

MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Cash & Equivalents
$17.1M$25.8M$325.9M$101.6M$79.4M
Short-Term Investments
$0.00$84.0M$144.6M$239.9M$181.9M
Total Current Assets
$18.3M$117.0M$479.2M$351.8M$279.6M
Total Assets
$18.5M$117.2M$481.7M$353.8M$281.2M
Total Current Liabilities
$4.9M$6.5M$10.7M$13.5M$10.0M
Long-Term Debt
$0.00$0.00$0.00$549.0K$226.0K
Total Liabilities
$124.6M$240.3M$11.9M$14.0M$10.2M
Stockholders' Equity
-$106.2M-$123.1M$469.9M$339.8M$271.0M
Retained Earnings
-$107.4M-$128.0M-$190.8M-$334.2M-$414.5M

Cash Flow Statement

MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Operating Cash Flow
-$19.0M-$37.9M-$59.2M-$133.3M-$136.3M
Capital Expenditure
-$82.0K-$144.0K-$511.0K-$165.0K$0.00
Free Cash Flow
-$19.1M-$38.1M-$59.7M-$133.3M-$136.3M
Investing Cash Flow
-$82.0K-$82.8M-$59.5M-$93.5M$165.3M
Financing Cash Flow
$10.0M$129.6M$418.9M$2.4M$5.0M
Issuance of Stock
$0.00$118.0K$272.7M$2.4M$5.0M
Repurchase of Stock
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net Debt Issuance
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
Stock Based Comp.
$1.3M$3.4M$6.0M$10.3M$14.1M
Net Change in Cash
-$9.1M$8.8M$300.3M-$224.3M$33.9M

Dilution Tracker

Shares outstanding grew 48.3% over 5 years — significant dilution
Shares Outstanding
55M
5-Year Share Growth
+48.3%
Stock Issuance (TTM)
$5.0M
MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Shares Out. (M)
36.3236.3251.3453.8554.57
Change vs Prior %
—0.0%41.3%4.9%1.3%
Stock Issuance
$0.00$118.0K$272.7M$2.4M$5.0M
Stock Repurchase
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
Stock Based Comp.
$1.3M$3.4M$6.0M$10.3M$14.1M

Margins & Profitability

MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
Gross Margin %
100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%98.4%
Operating Margin %
-1972.7%-1685.5%-3281.2%-5618.8%-5382.6%
Net Margin %
-1969.3%-862.9%-2650.0%-5026.0%-4955.7%
EBITDA Margin %
-1968.7%-860.4%-2646.3%-5019.4%-4949.3%
FCF Margin %
-1576.2%-1599.6%-2518.3%-4669.8%-4317.4%
ROE %
22.5%16.7%-13.4%-42.2%-48.4%
ROA %
-129.2%-17.5%-13.0%-40.5%-55.7%
ROIC %
-174.4%-36.2%-16.5%-47.0%-62.5%
R&D / Revenue %
1539.4%1336.1%2656.8%4793.5%4616.8%

Growth (Year over Year)

Fiscal years. Rising share count growth means dilution.

MetricTrend2022202320242025
Revenue
0.0%96.4%-0.4%20.4%
Gross Profit
0.0%96.4%-0.4%20.4%
Operating Income
0.0%-67.8%-93.9%-106.2%
Net Income
0.0%14.0%-205.8%-128.4%
EPS (Diluted)
0.0%-59.1%-41.9%-78.5%
Operating Cash Flow
0.0%-99.4%-56.0%-125.2%
Free Cash Flow
0.0%-99.3%-56.8%-123.3%
R&D Expense
0.0%70.4%98.0%117.3%
SG&A Expense
0.0%65.5%60.5%53.8%
Total Assets
0.0%534.3%311.0%-26.6%
Book Value / Share
0.0%-16.0%370.0%-31.1%
Debt
0.0%-52.1%3975.6%-30.8%
Diluted Shares
0.0%0.0%41.3%4.9%

Valuation

P/E (TTM)At Loss
P/S56.02
10Y Low / Med / High335.76 / 512.30 / 659.33
P/B0.65
EV/EBITDAAt Loss
EV/Revenue31.18
10Y Low / Med / High219.41 / 477.15 / 645.34
P/FCFAt Loss

Intrinsic Value Models (per share)

Tangible Book / Share
$4.97
Net Current Assets / Share
$4.92
Graham Net-Net
$4.63
Cash / Share
$4.79
MetricTrend2022202320242025TTM
P/E Ratio
-33.33-20.95-11.03-10.21-1.11
P/S Ratio
659.33335.76356.14512.3056.02
P/B Ratio
-7.53-6.491.804.300.65
EV/EBITDA
-32.78-37.77-8.29-9.51-0.63
EV/Revenue
645.34324.93219.41477.1531.18

Analyst Estimates & Quality

Altman Z-Score
7.65
Safe
Piotroski F-Score
2
Weak

Forward Estimates (consensus)

MetricFY2026FY2027FY2028
Revenue$2.7M$1.6M$4.2M
Net Income-$166.7M-$140.5M-$147.9M
EPS$-2.87$-2.76$-2.88
# Analysts (EPS)766